Thursday, March 18, 2010

Really good article on why people take transit

The fundamental attribution error in transportation choice

Original link: http://psystenance.com/2010/03/15/the-fundamental-attribution-error-in-transportation-choice/

Posted by Michael D on March 15, 2010

In social psychology, the fundamental attribution error refers to the tendency for people to over-attribute the behaviour of others to personality or disposition and to neglect substantial contributions of environmental or situational factors. (Actually it isn’t quite fundamental, as collectivist cultures exhibit less of this bias.) People are generally more aware of the situational influence on their own behaviour.

Thus, the fundamental attribution error in transportation choice: You choose driving over transit because transit serves your needs poorly, but Joe Straphanger takes transit because he’s the kind of person who takes transit. This is the sort of trap we find ourselves in when considering how to fund transportation, be it transit, cycling, walking, or driving.

Let’s say you live in a suburban subdivision. You can afford to drive, and it’s the only way you can quickly and easily get to your suburban office and to the store, and pick up your child from daycare. How do you interpret the decision of other people to take transit? Is it something about the quality of transit where they are? More likely you are going to attribute it to something about those people themselves — they’re poor, or they’re students, or they’re some kind of environmentalists. It’s difficult for people to realize the effect of the situation, e.g. one with frequent transit service to many destinations along a straight street that is easy to walk to. (I’d also point out that students, the poor, and even environmentalists do drive as well.)

Why do Europeans walk more, cycle more, and take transit more? Surely it is something about their culture? But this is an excessively dispositional attribution. I won’t deny that culture plays some role in transit use, especially in the decisions that lead to the creation of transportation infrastructure. But that infrastructure itself and the services provided on it are a strong influence on the transportation choices people make. The European infrastructure situation facilitates those other modes of travel much more so than does typical North American transportation infrastructure.

Where our infrastructure gets closer to the European model, so does the transportation mode choice, and conversely, where Europe is more like the North American model, Europeans turn out to drive more. If culture were really the driving force, you wouldn’t expect to see much fluctuation in transportation choice. But just as North America suburbanized and fell in love with the private automobile, so did Europe, albeit to a lesser extent. Only recently has Europe started again building new tram lines and clawing back space from the car. Copenhagen, now viewed as an urban cycling mecca, wasn’t always one. The rise of the car drastically lowered cycling there in the 1960s. Copenhagen owes its recent fame to restrictions on parking and to its dedicated cycling infrastructure, which have led to a cycling renaissance.

Consider how North American visitors travel in Europe. How do they get around London? The Underground. How do they get between London and Paris? The train. How do they get around Amsterdam or Copenhagen? Quite possibly they rent a bike. When in Rome, they do as the Romans do: they walk, take the subway or tram, or maybe ride a Vespa. What do European tourists do in North America? Generally they rent a car, because that’s the only realistic way to travel in most places. There are exceptions, of course: tourists to New York City or Washington, D.C. take the subway because that’s the most convenient way to travel in those cities.

We’re not so different from tourists in how we choose to get around. We may have our own preferences, but the biggest influence on our choice of transportation mode is what modes are available to us and how useful they are. Above all this is determined not by culture and personality but by the kind of infrastructure and transportation service provided.

Addendum: Jarrett Walker has some great commentary on this post at Human Transit. More context was given in the Streetsblog write-up.

Sunday, March 7, 2010

traffic and pedestrian fatality rates in Canada

January 27, 2010

How pedestrians, cyclists and drivers can get along a little better

By CBC News
CBC News

Drivers, pedestrians and cyclists can all take some simple precautions to reduce the risk that they will be involved in an accident. While road fatalities have steadily declined in Canada since the early 1970s, the number of pedestrian deaths has remained at close to 400 for the past decade.

It's war out there as an ever-increasing number of drivers, pedestrians and cyclists compete for space on the world's roads.

Motor vehicle-related fatalities have been a fact of life since Irish scientist Mary Ward fell under the wheels of her cousin's steam-powered automobile in August 1869. She fell out of the vehicle as it hit a sharp curve - long before cars came with seat belts, air bags or even doors and drivers were distracted by GPS devices, cellphones or hot coffee spilling in their laps.

Thirty years later, Henry Bliss stepped off a trolley in New York City, turned to help the woman he was accompanying and was hit by a taxi. He died later in hospital, becoming the first pedestrian to be killed by a motor vehicle.

The World Health Organization estimates that more than a million people die each year on the roads. In Canada, 2,889 people were killed in traffic accidents in 2006. More than 1,500 were drivers of cars or trucks, approximately 635 were passengers in cars or trucks, 375 were pedestrians and 87 were cyclists.

While the number of Canadians killed on the roads has been falling steadily since the early 1970s, the percentage of fatal accidents involving pedestrians killed has remained around 13 per cent. According to Transport Canada:

  • 419 pedestrians were killed in 1999.
  • 335 pedestrians were killed in 2001.
  • 374 pedestrians were killed in 2006.

In the city of Toronto, eight pedestrians were killed in the first 26 days of 2010 compared to 31 for all of 2009. Six others died during the same period of January in the suburbs surrounding the city.

Pedestrian fatalities
Vancouver (2007) 13
Edmonton (2007) 13
Toronto (2007) 23
Montreal (2007) 24
New York City (2006) 157
Los Angeles (2006) 99
Chicago (2006) 48

Most pedestrian and cyclist deaths occur in urban areas, often during rush hour or at night. Most victims - more than 60 per cent - are male.

Gil Penalosa, transportation activist and the executive director of the agency 8-80 Cities [http://8-80cities.org/index.html], has been vocal in trying to make cities safer for pedestrians and cyclists.

Penalosa has advised organizations around the world on how to reduce the rate of accidents in urban areas. Among his recommendations are:

  • Create speed bumps and more signs to increase driver awareness.
  • Install more lights on city sidewalks.
  • Ban right turns on red lights.
  • Reduce speed limits.
  • Give pedestrians a five-second head start over cars on green lights.
Worst countries for pedestrian fatalities
Country Population Year Total road traffic fatalities Pedestrian fatalities (% of all traffic fatalities)
Peru 27,902,760 2007 3,510 78
Mozambique 21,396,916 2007 1,502 68
El Salvador 6,857,328 2007 1,493 63
Ukraine 46,205,382 2007 9,921 56
Ethiopia 83,099,190 2006 2,517 55
Statistics from other major countries
Russian Federation 142,498,532 2007 33,308 36
China 1,336,317,116 2006 89,455 26
UK 60,768,946 2006 3,298 21
Mexico 106,534,880 2007 17,003 21
Germany 82,599,471 2007 4,949 14
Canada 32,876,047 2006 2,889 13
Australia 20,743,179 2007 1,616 13
France 61,647,375 2007 4,620 12
U.S.A. 305,826,246 2006 42,642 11

Source:World Health Organization [http://whqlibdoc.who.int/publications/2009/9789241563840_eng.pdf]

Angelo DiCicco, general manager of Young Drivers of Canada for the greater Toronto region, says changing the number on a sign won't change anything unless speeding laws are better enforced.

"You have to change the driving culture in our society," DiCicco said. "The best way to do that is through education, making the driver more aware of pedestrians and cyclists."

DiCicco notes that an advanced green for pedestrians and cyclists could be helpful because it would make drivers more aware of - and better able to see - others on the road.


[For the interactive CBC page go to http://www.cbc.ca/health/story/2010/01/27/f-road-safety-pedestrians-drivers.html) ]

Tuesday, March 2, 2010

drivers complain

[this from 2007, i like the suggestion that drivers complain all the time, bad roads, and then construction...]

Mountain mayhem!
Extensive road construction leaves drivers feeling they have nowhere to turn


The Hamilton Spectator

(Oct 5, 2007)

Hurry up and wait. That's the mantra for motorists as Hamilton ramps up its road construction on the central Mountain.

Lime Ridge Mall is all but cut off. Major arteries -- Upper Wentworth, Garth, Stone Church, Mohawk and West 5th -- have all been torn up. Even the Wentworth exit from the Linc has been shut down at times.

The delays are driving motorists nuts as they try to find alternate routes -- and end up sitting in long lines. Rush hour is mayhem.

City staff say the construction is needed, and yes, all at once. These are major roads needing major work as soon as it can be done and with the roads budget being slashed next year, it's important to do the repairs now.

They say drivers can't have it both ways -- complain about the condition of the road and then also complain when it's getting fixed.

Some Mountain residents and drivers disagree with the city starting a project like the one by the mall before finishing another.

"I don't know what the urgency was to get it done while we're tearing up everything else," says resident Tony Tirone. "It's frustrating, time consuming and it just seems unnecessary."

cfragomeni@thespec.com

905-526-3392




http://thespec.com/article/259634